NCAA Tournament March Madness

#293 Georgia St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Georgia State has flashes that show it can win in the Sun Belt—wins over Marshall and Arkansas State and road victories at Appalachian State and ULM demonstrate the team can grind out conference wins—but those positives are overwhelmed by damaging nonconference results and poor performances away from home, including losses at Cincinnati and Arizona State, a brutal defeat at South Dakota State, a neutral-site slide against Samford and New Mexico State, and an upset loss to Presbyterian. The schedule has not produced the kind of signature road or neutral victories that committees reward, and most of the resume’s better results come against middling league opponents rather than established quadrant-caliber teams. Upcoming games against Ga Southern, James Madison, Coastal Carolina and Old Dominion are helpful chances to stop the bleeding but none are marquee opportunities that will flip the profile. With few high-end wins and several bad losses in eye-catching spots, the clearest path to the NCAA field for Georgia State is to secure the Sun Belt’s automatic berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@E Michigan230L71-49
11/7@Cincinnati51L74-64
11/10Presbyterian285L63-61
11/17@Arizona St71L75-62
11/21@S Dakota St219L105-58
11/25(N)Samford205L78-63
11/26(N)New Mexico St166L77-58
12/2@Mercer164L78-67
12/6@Kennesaw182L92-69
12/13Jacksonville St210W77-73
12/18@Ga Southern279L90-67
12/20@Appalachian St176W70-63
12/31@Marshall170L84-80
1/3@Coastal Car233W89-71
1/8Appalachian St176L52-50
1/10Marshall170W81-73
1/17@ULM354W77-57
1/22Southern Miss241W69-62
1/24Arkansas St149W82-81
1/29@Louisiana306L82-72
1/31@South Alabama195L69-67
2/4Troy137L74-63
2/7N Illinois317L75-74
2/12@James Madison222L81-79
2/14@Old Dominion242L78-55
2/19Ga Southern27958%
2/21James Madison22246%
2/24Coastal Car23349%
2/27Old Dominion24250%